Ea Carolina
W-L: (12-19) PR = 95.0584Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 92-89 1108 H Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 72-87 1113 A ECSU 71-70 1118 H UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 60-85 1121 H Charlotte So BSO (16-17, 94.4) 65-77 1125 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 56-89 1127 H St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 58-67 1202 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 68-56 1206 H UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 78-82 1211 H App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 54-67 1214 A Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 73-70 1217 A Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 74-53 1222 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 51-99 1231 H Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 70-79 107 H Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 67-75 111 H UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 85-87 114 H So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 71-82 118 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 70-73 121 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 60-77 123 A No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 63-59 128 H Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 77-83 201 A Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 76-75 207 H Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 73-81 211 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 88-72 214 A Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 85-75 218 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) **-92 221 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 56-68 225 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 82-81 301 A Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 84-68 305 H Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 66-93 308 H UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 83-90
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Georgia So 92-89 3 0 + 2.19
1108 H Richmond 72-87 -15 0 -1.55
1118 H UNC-Wilm 60-85 -25 -1 -0.78
1121 H Charlotte So 65-77 -12 1 - -2.68
1125 H Michigan St 56-89 -33 -4 0.00
1127 H St. Bonnies 58-67 -9 -1 -1.30
1202 A MD-Ea Shore 68-56 12 2 0.00
1206 H UNCG 78-82 -4 1 - -2.55
1211 H App State 54-67 -13 0 -1.61
1214 A Buffalo 73-70 3 0 + 2.30
1217 A Presbyterian 74-53 21 1 1.32
1222 H No Carolina 51-99 -48 -3 0.00
1231 H Tulane 70-79 -9 -1 -1.11
107 H Temple 67-75 -8 -1 -1.41
111 H UAB 85-87 -2 -1 -0.83
114 H So Florida 71-82 -11 -2 0.00
118 H Charlotte 70-73 -3 -1 -1.16
121 H Wichita St 60-77 -17 -2 -0.42
123 A No Texas 63-59 4 -1 + 2.95
128 H Rice 77-83 -6 0 -1.85
201 A Florida Atl 76-75 1 -1 + 2.04
207 H Temple 73-81 -8 -1 -1.41
211 A Texas-SA 88-72 16 1 1.12
214 A Rice 85-75 10 0 + 2.17
218 H Wichita St **-92 32 -2 + 3.58
221 H Charlotte 56-68 -12 -1 -1.16
225 A Texas-SA 82-81 1 1 0.12
301 A Memphis 84-68 16 -1 + 2.88
305 H Tulsa 66-93 -27 -2 -0.01
308 H UAB 83-90 -7 -1 -0.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 H Charlotte So 65-77 -12 1 - -2.68 1206 H UNCG 78-82 -4 1 - -2.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1104 A Georgia So 92-89 3 0 + 2.19 1214 A Buffalo 73-70 3 0 + 2.30 123 A No Texas 63-59 4 -1 + 2.95 201 A Florida Atl 76-75 1 -1 + 2.04 214 A Rice 85-75 10 0 + 2.17 218 H Wichita St **-92 32 -2 + 3.58 301 A Memphis 84-68 16 -1 + 2.88 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 92-89 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.22
3 H Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 72-87 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.10 -2.42
3 H UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 60-85 -3.61 3.86 -0.01 1.10 -1.99
3 H Charlotte So (16-17, 94.4) 65-77 -5.51 1.96 -0.01 1.10 -3.04
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 56-89 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.10 -0.66
3 H St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 58-67 -4.13 3.35 -0.01 1.10 -2.28
3 A MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 68-56 -6.90 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 78-82 -5.38 2.10 -0.01 1.10 -2.96
3 H App State (19-14, 95.5) 54-67 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.10 -2.45
3 A Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 73-70 -4.55 2.93 0.01 1.10 6.47
3 A Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 74-53 -5.53 1.95 0.01 1.10 4.31
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 51-99 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 1.10 -0.94
3 H Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 70-79 -3.94 3.53 -0.01 1.10 -2.17
3 H Temple (17-16, 95.7) 67-75 -4.24 3.24 -0.01 1.10 -2.34
3 H UAB (20-12, 96.2) 85-87 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 H So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 71-82 -2.80 4.67 -0.01 1.10 -1.55
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 70-73 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.10 -2.20
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 60-77 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 1.10 -1.80
3 A No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 63-59 -3.90 3.57 0.01 1.10 7.89
3 H Rice (13-18, 95.2) 77-83 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 1.10 -2.58
3 A Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 76-75 -3.82 3.66 0.01 1.10 8.08
3 H Temple (17-16, 95.7) 73-81 -4.24 3.24 -0.01 1.10 -2.34
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 88-72 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.10 3.86
3 A Rice (13-18, 95.2) 85-75 -4.68 2.80 0.01 1.10 6.18
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) **-92 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 1.10 9.27
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 56-68 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.10 -2.20
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 82-81 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.10 3.86
3 A Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 84-68 -3.98 3.50 0.01 1.10 7.73
3 H Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 66-93 -2.84 4.63 -0.01 1.10 -1.57
3 H UAB (20-12, 96.2) 83-90 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
------
26.54
|
winning pts = 66.0769 losing points = -39.5383
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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